This year, Harris County Democrats aim for 1.1 million Democratic voters from their county alone. It’s nice to rely on Harris County to carry such a significant portion of the Democratic vote in Texas. Even though there are many other Democratic strongholds in Texas, Harris County will ultimately carry the state over the finish line to a Democratic government.
Of the few remaining Texas House seats held by Republicans in Harris County, one House District has a strong chance of flipping this November. That seat is HD138, and Stephanie Morales is the Democrat running to take it.
Who is Stephanie Morales?
Stephanie Morales is an accomplished attorney with deep roots in Texas. She grew up in the Rio Grande Valley, always encouraged by her mother, a Texas teacher, and later attended Texas A&M University, where she was an active member of the Corps of Cadets and the Fightin’ Texas Aggie Band. After earning her B.S. in Biology, Stephanie pursued her Juris Doctor at South Texas College of Law.
As an Assistant District Attorney in Harris County, she gained extensive courtroom experience, which inspired her to open The Morales Law Firm, focusing on protecting the rights of Houstonians in criminal and juvenile cases. Morales has volunteered with Rodeo Houston for over a decade, served on the Spring Branch ISD Financial Advisory Board, and passionately advocates for stopping the school-to-prison pipeline. Now, she is running for State Representative, aiming to bring her dedication and expertise to public office.
Who is she running against?
Whew, what can be said about Representative Lacey Hull that hasn’t been already? Did you know that she pegged one of her married co-workers? It was quite the scandal when it happened. Although Hull’s affair with her married co-worker eventually made national news, the deplorables still voted to re-elect the election cycle.
But it was a midterm year, and Democrats stayed home. We will not see a repeat this year. Since the last election, Lacey Hull was photographed in an Austin park with yet another married co-worker.
She’s young, and her husband dumped her; you can’t blame a girl for living. While it may be surprising for some to find out how many Republican men are into pegging, we don’t kink shame. So, what else is there to say about Lacey Hull?
Here she is assaulting a pro-Palestine protester:
This November, the voters in HD138 will have an easy choice.
What about this district?
HD138 consists of Jersey Village, Spring Valley Village, Hilshire Village, and a small sliver of Houston.
62.7% of this district is non-Anglo, with the majority being Hispanic. This district is generally more affluent and educated than Texas as a whole, and poverty in HD138 is lower.
The voter turnout 2022 for 138 was 37%, but it was a midterm year. This is a presidential year, and the Harris County Democratic Party will turn out 1.1 million voters, likely with a massive focus on this district.
We should expect a turnout of around 65% (higher would be even better), nearly double that of 2022.
The precinct-level data after redistricting tells us that HD138 is only a +5.4 Trump district. With how things are headed this year, a five-point leftward swing should be easily attainable for this district. This year is about turnout, and HD138 is one seat that can flip if Democrats need to work hard for turnout.
What will it take for Stephanie Morales to win?
For Stephanie Morales to flip HD138, several critical factors need to align. Morales’ campaign should have robust voter outreach programs, including door-to-door canvassing, phone banking, and text campaigns. Grassroots efforts to connect with voters personally will significantly boost turnout.
The Morales Campaign should constantly highlight the differences between Morales and Lacey Hull. Emphasizing her commitment to integrity, community service, and progressive values can starkly contrast Hull’s controversial past and alignment with extremist policies.
Stephanie Morales has a challenging but achievable path to victory in HD138. By focusing on voter turnout, targeted campaigning, and strategic messaging, she can flip the district and contribute to the larger goal of shifting the balance of power in the Texas House.
Vote early, vote often, just vote.
You can learn more about Stephanie Morales on her website, Facebook, Twitter, or Instagram.
133 days left until the November 5 election!
The Blue Battle 2024 is my series covering races in the Texas Legislature (in no particular order). This series will highlight Democratic candidates once or twice a week leading to the November election. If you missed the previous installments:
LoneStarLeft’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
Follow me on Facebook, Twitter, TikTok, Threads, YouTube, and Instagram.